Politics & Public Opinion
Fearless Political Predictions
If Pete Buttigieg wins the nomination: His inexperience and embrace of many extreme positions (which he doesn’t seem to realize are, from the viewpoints of a great many Americans, truly extreme, especially his abortion absolutism), means Trump wins.
If Bernie Sanders wins the nomination: The exposure of his years lionizing communist dictatorships, which his fellow Democrats have given him a pass on (hoping to pick up his supporters), and the far-left economic-redistributionist policies he still holds mean Trump wins in a landslide.
If Joe Biden wins the nomination: He increasingly seems old and befuddled and Trump wins.
If Mike Bloomberg wins the nomination: Trump is the “blue-collar billionaire”; Bloomberg is just a globalist capitalist who champions policies that hollowed out industrial America. Trump wins.
If Elizabeth Warren wins the nomination: She won’t.
If Amy Klobuchar wins the nomination: At this point, she’s a wild card who, if she hews toward moderate, centrist positions, has a shot. But she hasn’t really been tested and vetted, so odds are still Trump wins.
Today I asked @amyklobuchar if there is room in her coalition for pro-life people. She said yes of course. I asked if she’d try to find common ground on bringing down the number of abortions.
— Chris Crawford (@CrawfordStuff) February 10, 2020
She said “Yes. Yes.” And told me about her work in the adoption caucus in the Senate. pic.twitter.com/CIvfMSulEE
Versus:
More.
Sanders is clearly the frontrunner at this point. The moderate lane is fractured. If Democrats wish to challenge Sanders internally, Biden and Warren both need to step out now, and Buttigieg and Klobuchar are going to have to determine before Super Tuesday which one is viable.
— Ben Shapiro (@benshapiro) February 12, 2020
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Buttigieg, Faith and Abortion
Timothy P. Carney writes:
Democrats such as Buttigieg could reach socially conservative Christian voters, argues Kathy Winter, chairwoman of the Osceola County Democratic Party, by preaching “kindness, compassion, and caring about all of your friends and neighbors — to the born as well as the unborn too.”
Such a message “could reach a lot of conservative voters here,” Arnett argued. Pro-lifers could come to term with pro-choice Democrats who pursue policies that curb abortion while not banning the procedure. “Saying, ‘Hey, I’m just as committed as you are. Just we have different policies.’”
But no national Democrats push that line. No national Democrat will preach “compassion and caring about … the unborn,” as Winter puts it. Buttigieg doesn’t want abortion curtailed. In his stump speech, Buttigieg describes abortion as “reproductive healthcare” and refers to legal abortion as a crucial “freedom.”
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More on the Left’s Meldown Over Buttigieg
There are no words that can capture what the progressive left “thinks” (sic).
Personally, I’m disappointed Buttigieg hasn’t defended feeding the cold and hungry directly instead of raising taxes to give to bureaucrats who funnel the money to partisan activists after seeing that consultants get a big share, which the left believes is the acceptable way to feed the cold and hungry.
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A Not So United Coalition
More Mayor Pete from the twitterverse:
When @PeteButtigieg entered the race I thought gay Republicans would need to defend him against anti-gay ad hominems from the Right. I was wrong. They're coming exclusively from the Left. He's too white, too masc, too moderate, not queer enough, & raised $ for the Salvation Army.
— Joshua Herr (@JoshuaHerr6) December 4, 2019
No one deserves this kind of smear campaign driven by failing, identity politics-obsessed media outlets desperate for clicks.
— Brad Polum-snot-nosed-lemming-bo (@brad_polumbo) December 4, 2019
New from me @dcexaminer:
Gay media attack Pete Buttigieg for working with ‘homophobic’ Salvation Army https://t.co/T3jG4axe1n
he's making a joke at the *expense of birthers,* you unfathomable morons https://t.co/pv18cEhbyL
— Guy Benson (@guypbenson) December 4, 2019
Slow news cycle for gay political news, so we’ll turn again to Mayor Pete’s historic run and the challenges he faces.
The LGBTQ left is growing more deranged:
The @SalvationArmyUS is not 'homophobic.'
— Chad Felix Greene (@chadfelixg) December 4, 2019
At this point LGBT media is just spreading bigotry and hatred.⤵️
Pete Buttigieg Volunteered for the Homophobic Salvation Army https://t.co/AYodjQRhAI
Republican presidential candidates often garner over 20% of the self-identified gay vote per exit polls. George W. Bush got 21% in 2004, in an exit poll of LGB voters, down from 25% in 2000. John McCain hit a high point of 27% in 2008, while Mitt Romney won 23% in 2012.
Donald Trump drew about 14% LGBT support. I think he’s likely to do better in 2020, but we’ll see (adding “Ts” and “Qs” provides a different voter pool than LBG, so that’s a factor). In any event, he has more gay support than the LGBT media is willing to acknowledge.
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Another Mayor Pete News Roundup
Time for another look at Mayor Pete making news:
This is the “like Obama, for worse,” part:
We just need to shut up and let their hate kill each other!
— jacqueline doran (@jacquelinedora3) November 21, 2019
Harris Slams Buttigieg for Claiming Being Gay ‘Connects’ Him to Black Voters –https://t.co/KkxMsJ6Zh5 ✅
Via – @NeonNettle#NeonNettle
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Beto’s Unsmart Idea (and more)
The leading Democratic candidates have a knack for pushing each other further and further to the left — massive wealth redistribution through taxation, gun confiscation, taxpayer-paid abortion on demand until the point of natural birth, “free” college tuition for all, “cancelation” of student loan obligations, etc. etc. But O’Rourke’s latest proposal is so incendiary it may give the others pause.
.@BetoORourke used to seem like a fresh, independent voice on issues like drugs and even term limits, but now he’s all “we’re going to take your guns and tax your churches because Donald Trump is a dangerous extremist who is a threat to the Bill of Rights.”
— David Boaz (@David_Boaz) October 12, 2019
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The Democrats’ Forum
I confess, I didn’t watch it. But knowing GLAAD and how it operates as a driver of political conformity around Democratic talking points and the trendiest gender theories to sprout from academia, I’m not surprised by the reports below.
I am surprised, however, at the lack of major media coverage. It’s almost as if the mainstream media is covering for the candidates, who can tell LGBTQ activists everything they want to hear, but not spook the public by spotlighting this pandering.
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Mayor Pete’s Race Problem
More. Via The Federalist:
Overall, blacks lag other racial demographics in supporting same-sex marriage. A bare 51 percent majority of blacks support same-sex marriage, as opposed to 58 percent of Latinos and 62 percent of whites. These numbers suggest Buttigieg may have difficulties attracting black support even if he becomes better known among voters generally.
While black attitudes on LGBTQ issues pose a particular problem for Mayor Pete, his candidacy exposes a more general issue for a Democratic Party whose elites are disproportionately white leftists. The elite response so far, including from establishment media, has been to bury the issue.
For example, three Democratic presidential candidates—Sens. Bernie Sanders, Kamala Harris, and Cory Booker—campaigned at the Victory Missionary Baptist Church in Las Vegas. The church is led by the Rev. Robert E. Fowler, Sr., who believes being gay is “enough to send you to hell.” Fowler also has compared homosexuality to child molestation, which apparently caught Harris completely unaware.
Also, Spectator USA: The Unbearable Whiteness of Mayor Pete’s Chicago Rally.
Looks like the media has discovered this story:
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When Worlds Collide
Scott Adams like to say that Trump-supporters and Trump-haters are watching the same screen but seeing two different movies.
BRAVO to @LogCabinGOP for endorsing @realDonaldTrump for reelection — this statement reads like it could have been issued in 2016 (and it should have been!). Nonetheless, glad to see gay Republicans united as we head toward victory in 2020. https://t.co/4HAFzZ9pdt
— Gregory T. Angelo (@gregorytangelo) August 16, 2019
The Log Cabin Republicans are “bigots and privileged trash,” writes @Amanda_Kerri. https://t.co/7Vx9OD96Vg
— The Advocate (@TheAdvocateMag) August 16, 2019
I am very pleased that the @LogCabinGOP endorsed our President today. It was a pleasure, in my capacity as a member of the Board of Directors, to cast my vote in favor! #nhpolitics https://t.co/Uc9gvFJ5oD
— Dr. Dan Innis (@daninnis) August 16, 2019
After @LogCabinGOP spokesman @CharlesTMoran appeared on MSNBC Saturday to discuss the endorsement, an outpouring of vitriol flew their way online.
— Brad Polumbo (@brad_polumbo) August 20, 2019
What is the far left so afraid of?https://t.co/Wos2Uq0EPk
It’s not an attack on anyone. It’s an attempt to see the law enforced for what it says rather than what liberal judges wished it said.
— Brad Polumbo (@brad_polumbo) August 17, 2019
Hey @TheAdvocateMag you should probably update your silly hit piece saying trump doesn’t care
— Brad Polumbo (@brad_polumbo) August 20, 2019