Was TQ+ Surge a Fad or Contagion?
A 4 percent rate of trans self-identification for American college students is still ridiculously high.
2/ Non-conforming sexual identity (queer, questioning, etc) is also in sharp decline.
— Eric Kaufmann (@epkaufm) October 14, 2025
Gay and lesbian are stable while heterosexuality has rebounded by around 10 points since 2023. pic.twitter.com/fKD4G1rwi5
8/ The fall of trans and queer seems most similar to the fading of a fashion or trend. It happened largely independently of shifts in political beliefs and social media use, though improved mental health played a role. pic.twitter.com/KCKzrO3hYc
— Eric Kaufmann (@epkaufm) October 14, 2025
Stop the celebration?
Prof. Kaufmann discusses his report:
Related and worth repeating:
His high school “gay-straight alliance,” instead of focusing on homophobia and acceptance of being gay, promoted transitioning for students who were gender nonconforming. In college, he became further immersed in the gender-transition ideology pushed by faculty and supported by administrators.
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Democrats Engage in Yet Another Smear Campaign Against an Openly Gay GOP Rival
Post-Election Update:
Openly gay Republican John Reid ran a strong race and fought the good fight in his bid for lieutenant governor, but the immense concentration of federal government employees in northern Virginia makes it tough going for statewide GOP candidates in the best of circumstances, and, sadly, Winsome Earle-Sears was a weak candidate for the governorship against well-financed and slick “fake moderate” Abigail Spanberger.
Reid was defeated for lieutenant governor by Ghazala Hashmi, a far-left leaning nonentity who repeatedly refused to debate Reid and only agreed to softball interviews with liberal media.
Spanberger, who voted the straight Democratic party line as a Congressmember, marching in strict lockstep with Nancy Pelosi and then Hakeem Jefferies, is now indebted to party progressives. The teachers’ unions will gain more protection against having to actually, you know, teach, while student achievement again declines. She’ll bring higher taxes to fund more unnecessary and wasteful spending that goes to favored constituencies, which then funnel funds back to the party. And more gerrymandering to ensure that only progressives Democrats can be elected to the state legislature in Richmond and to Congress.
So, more decline while the self-satisfied northern Virginia elites and government rent-seekers celebrate their victory. All so sad.
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‘Conversion Therapy’ Before the Supreme Court
The U.S. Supreme Court just heard arguments on a Colorado law that bans “conversion therapy” for those under age 18, defined as efforts to change a minor client’s gender identity or sexual orientation, including “behaviors or gender expressions.” The law, however, allows therapy that provides “assistance to a person undergoing gender transition.”
The problem, once again, is the facile comparison of attempts to change sexual orientation, which have been proven to cause harm, and therapy aimed at helping gender-nonconforming kids find peace with their physical sex. In the latter case, we know that most gender-confused minors outgrow any bodily dysphoria and many, perhaps most, come to recognize they are gay, not transgender, if they are not socially and medically transitioned.
Combining “change therapy” targeting sexual orientation and gender identity under the same rubric is one of the worst consequences of replacing the lesbian and gay rights movement with LGBTQ+ advocacy.
Added: The media reporting on this case uniformly doesn’t acknowledge that two very different types of therapy for minors are being commingled — attempts to change sexual orientation (bad and anti-gay) and attempts to help gender nonconforming kids (largely proto-gay) to be more at ease with their physical sex (good and pro-gay).
The Free Press gets it rights:
Related: His high school “gay-straight alliance,” instead of focusing on homophobia and acceptance of being gay, promoted transitioning for students who were gender nonconforming. In college, he became further immersed in the gender-transition ideology pushed by faculty and supported by administrators.
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In Key November Elections, the ‘Pro-LGBTQ+’ Democrats Aren’t ‘Pro-Gay’
Virginia’s Democratic nominee for governor, Abigail Spanberger, can’t bring herself to oppose biological males in women’s sports.
https://www.dailywire.com/news/abigail-spanberger-virginia-dem-gov-hopeful-ripped-for-weak-kamala-answer-on-trans-athletes
Spanberger has also urged her supporters to “let your rage fuel you” against political opponents. Hint: “rage” rarely leads to constructive engagement, but in the wake of Charlie Kirk’s murder and rising violence on the left, it’s, let’s say, deplorable.
Meanwhile, the Democratic candidate for Attorney General running with her, Jay Jones, sent text messages in 2022 discussing shooting then-Republican House Speaker Todd Gilbert and wishing death to his children because “only when people feel pain personally do they move on policy.”
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Gay Kids Told They’re Trans
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LGB Advice for Transactivists
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The Charlie Kirk Narratives
A more objective look at what we now know:
Summing things up:
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On Charlie Kirk
In 2019, Charlie Kirk said “I believe marriage is one man, one woman,” but he sought dialogue and debate with people who held opposing views.
Podcaster Dave Rubin, who is openly gay and married to a man, met Kirk in 2017 and “went on to do dozens of college campus events where we both relished discussing our differences — not only with each other, but with the huge crowds of college students as well. … What started as spirited disagreements on politics, culture, religion and activism turned into a meaningful friendship and a turning point, pardon the pun, in my career.”
Other openly gay critics of leftwing extremism, including Andrew Doyle and Andy Ngo, have praised Kirk’s commitment to free speech and respectful dialogue. And in a statement, Log Cabin Republicans said that Kirk “worked tirelessly to bring American education back to its roots of civil debate, free speech, and tolerance for differing points of view. His work was, and will continue to be, an inspiration for LGBT conservatives to proudly defend their own views against those who may loudly and hatefully disagree.”
In a quote now being widely shared, Kirk himself said this: “When people stop talking, that’s when you get violence. That’s when civil war happens. Because you start to think the other side is so evil and they lose their humanity.”
And putting it all together:
Addendums:
Well said by Debra Messing: “The idea that disagreement could justify erasure is barbaric. And the fact that so many are celebrating it is horrifying.”
OsborneInk (Matt Osbrone) writes:
… GLAAD, the once-hallowed civil rights nonprofit … claimed that Kirk “spread infinite amounts of disinformation about LGBTQ people.” GLAAD is particularly put out by “Turning Point’s college campus campaigns featuring speakers such as Riley Gaines, Chloe Cole, and Pastor Junsun Yoo, who regularly spoke against transgender people.”
I have met one of those people, Riley Gaines, and watched her speak. … Gaines was denied her Title IX rights to fair sports competition, as well as the safety of a single-sex locker room, because William ‘Lia’ Thomas has special gender gremlin inside him that makes it okay, according to the new leftist dogma everyone has been forced to accept as a civil rights project. …
… I actually know Chloe Cole personally, having met her three times and interviewed her. She did not “speak against transgender people” because she never does. Chloe tells the story of how her breasts were cut off while she was a minor child, during the very same time that GLAAD and ‘the left’ were gaslighting America that no minor children were being surgically transitioned, passing off this lie with the compliant help of the media.
More: Will this hold up? We’ll see.