In the big, gay-related but non-Larry Craig story last week, on Thursday in Polk County, Iowa, a trial court declared the state's exclusion of gay couples from marriage unconstitutional. After one gay male couple (college students) received a license and were legally wed, the decision was stayed on Friday, pending appeal to the Iowa Supreme Court.
PoliticsIowa.com reports that Republicans denounced the ruling, and the Iowa Democratic Party declined to comment. So, what's new?
The conventional wisdom is that the decision won't stand, or if it does, the state constitution is likely to be amended to reverse it (probably barring civil unions along the way). Politicslowa.com also suggests that the ruling could swing the closely divided Iowa legislature to the GOP; Iowa isn't Massachusetts.
But it will be interesting to see how this plays out. If it ends badly, it will be yet another sign that judicial rulings for same-sex marriage in states where the electorate is strongly opposed serve only to set things back, and not to drive our equality forward. But if by some miracle the ruling survives judicial and legislative challenge, it could signify a backlash against the backlash. But given that Iowa is "a traditionally conservative Midwestern state" (as the Chicago Tribune put it), I'm not holding my breath.
More. From The Politico, Gay rights advance may be Pyrrhic victory:
Iowa's new state Democratic regime, for its part, may feel pressured to pass a constitutional ban on gay marriage-a proposed constitutional amendment must pass two consecutively elected state legislatures and a public referendum to be adopted-to avoid charges of being weak on traditional marriage during their reelection campaigns.
All of which makes it difficult to see how last week's ruling will help gay couples achieve the American dream, even if one couple did manage to tie the knot before the Polk County decision was stayed. In fact, the most favorable outcome for gay couples nationwide may be for Iowa's Supreme Court to end the political drama by overturning last week's decision.