Election Week 2006 marked a turning point in the gay civil
rights movement. Our battles are far from ended, but the same
midterm correction that reaffirmed the wisdom of our nation's
founders has confirmed that the tide of history is with our cause
of equality under the law. Several anti-gay politicians were
defeated. We won our first statewide marriage initiative. The
amendment to write gay families out of the U.S. Constitution is
gone with the Republican majority. And marriage equality is
reaffirmed in Massachusetts. Let the naysayers grumble all they
like. It's time for Thanksgiving.
It is also a time for taking stock. Although we lost 7 of 8
state initiative battles, the fact that the anti-gay vote was held
to less than 60 percent in Colorado, South Dakota, Virginia and
Wisconsin indicates public opinion is shifting toward us, and we
can win given sufficient resources. The improved numbers are partly
due to increased professionalism. Arizona Together, which led the
successful effort to defeat anti-gay Proposition 107, spent
$200,000 on voter research, and ultimately raised $2.1 million for
their successful campaign.
Key to the Arizona victory was message discipline, which meant
not allowing the anti-gay side to control the framing of the
debate. While it is easy to fault leaders on our side for not
emphasizing the rights of gay couples, our challenge in these
ballot fights is to win votes in a particular electoral context
with necessarily brief campaign messages. Educating the public
about gay families is a crucial ongoing project for our statewide
groups (and for each of us), but initiative campaigns must be
carefully geared toward the likely voters here and now. Knowing
that most Arizonans oppose same-sex marriage, Arizona Together
focused its messages instead on the adverse effect the initiative's
provision outlawing domestic partnerships would have on many
heterosexual couples.
I myself have been a client of Lake Research Partners, the voter
research firm used by Arizona Together, and I learned a lot thanks
to the sophistication and experience that went into their polling
design. It is expensive to hire first-rate consultants, but such
research is indispensable in providing the framework for campaign
messaging.
In addition to solid research and messaging, hard work made the
difference. A Nov. 8 press release from Arizona Together stated,
"With a coalition of more than 18,000 volunteers, outreach and
education spanned the spectrum including the placement and
distribution of more than 3,000 signs statewide; distribution of
more than 100,000 pieces of literature through events and door
knocking; tens of thousands of phone calls; one million pieces of
mailed literature; and a three-week run on TV."
Several who lost their initiative fights said that their states
were better organized as a result of the experience, and they might
have won had they been able to reach more voters with their
message. The state-by-state fight in the years ahead will take a
great deal of coordination and identification of new funding
sources. National GLBT and allied groups, working with the Equality
Federation of statewide groups, have made a good start with grants,
field organizing and training.
Fair Wisconsin stated after the election that their
get-out-the-vote efforts helped defeat several anti-gay state
legislators. South Dakotans Against Discrimination pointed out
that, while they lost, they won 48 percent of the vote compared
with the 24 percent to 33 percent shown in polls last January.
Colorado's referendum to approve domestic partnerships came
agonizingly close, winning 47 percent of the vote.
In the long run, the only people who can defeat us in our drive
toward equality are ourselves. Claire Guthrie Gastañaga of
Virginia's pro-gay Commonwealth Coalition stated, "One of our
biggest obstacles in this campaign was that many thought the
outcome was a foregone conclusion and were afraid or unwilling to
invest themselves in this effort."
Virginians did provide the finest irony of the election. The
Washington Times reported on Nov. 1 that Virginia's
anti-gay amendment, designed to help Sen. George Allen's
re-election bid by rousing conservative voters, appeared to be
backfiring. This was because black voters, while they supported the
amendment by more than 60 percent according to polls,
overwhelmingly favored Allen's Democratic challenger, Jim Webb.
Additionally, the Commonwealth Coalition spent nearly $1 million
and gained a million "no" voters, who also broke for Webb. Thus,
demonizing gay people arguably cost Republicans the Senate.
Tim Wildmon of the American Family Association crowed after the
election that "only one [state] voted against traditional
marriage." I wonder if Mr. Wildmon considers the higher divorce
rate in the Bible Belt a part of traditional marriage. The endless
hectoring by these hypocritical busybodies is like an inveterate
slob criticizing someone else's personal hygiene. If the tormented
closet cases and parents in denial about their own gay children
were purged from the leadership of the anti-gay movement, it would
virtually disappear. Our adversaries' poll numbers are declining
because their position depends on defamation and self-delusion.
The Arizona victory was no thanks to Sen. John McCain (R-AZ),
who taped two television spots for Prop. 107. In Tennessee,
Democratic Senate candidate Rep. Harold Ford Jr. joined his
Republican opponent, Bob Corker, in supporting that state's
anti-gay amendment. Ford also attacked the October 25 New Jersey
Supreme Court decision on marriage, and boasted of having voted
twice for the anti-gay federal marriage amendment. The Tennessee
ballot measure won 81 percent of the vote, but Ford was defeated.
How must it feel to sell your soul, only to leave empty-handed?