Updated July 17
Yes, this
poll showing majority support for anti-gay state marriage
amendments and, in general, candidates that support them-including
among "soft Democrats"-is from the anti-gay Family Research
Council. But it's also largely consistent with other polling. If
there are polls showing more optimistic findings, I'd like to see
them.
Also, the Washington Blade takes a clear-eyed
look at opposition to same-sex marriage and civil unions among
a big majority of African Americans. The Blade reports that:
two-thirds of black Americans are against gay marriage. Although
the numbers vary by poll, research shows most blacks oppose both
gay marriage and civil unions. The findings come as some surveys
show a majority of whites have dropped their objections to same-sex
unions.
Remember that this is a core Democratic demographic that much
LGBT activist propaganda portrays as our steadfast progressive
allies in the grand coalition of the left.
Even with an Obama victory, the passage of anti-gay marriage
amendments in California and Florida remains frighteningly likely.
Yet the overwhelming energy of national LGBT groups seems to be
targeted at aiding a Democratic presidential win, not defeating
anti-gay amendments, just as it was eight years ago.
More. I'm all for
boycotting major donors to the anti-gay marriage drive in
California or elsewhere; that's democracy in action. It's what the
beltway LGBT groups ought to be doing if they weren't so all
consumed by working on behalf of the Obama campaign.
Furthermore. Richard Nixon predicted same-sex
marriage by 2000! From a Gail Collins
op-ed in the NY Times:
Back in 1970, when Americans were still adjusting to the Supreme
Court ruling that people of different races had a constitutional
right to wed, someone suggested to President Richard Nixon that
same-sex marriages would be next.
"I can't go that far; that's the year 2000," Nixon rejoined.
Collins comments, "Nixon was a little early." And if this
November sees passage of anti-marriage amendments in California,
Florida, and elsewhere, we may be looking at yet another generation
of waiting. That's why defeating these amendment should be the #1
task for gay Americans and their political lobbies. Should be, but
isn't. (After all, what mid-level political appointments can
national LGBT activist leaders expect by working to defeat state
amendments, as opposed to providing their unconditional support to
their party's presidential campaign?)