President Truman's quip about wanting a one-handed economist-so
that he would cease being told, "On the one handâ¦on the other
handâ¦"-pretty well sums up my reaction to the news that Ted Olson
and David Boies are spearheading a federal lawsuit challenging
California's Prop. 8.
Olson and Boies are two of the most prominent constitutional
lawyers in the country-as evidenced by the fact that they
represented George W. Bush and Al Gore, respectively, before the
U.S. Supreme Court in "Bush v. Gore," which decided the 2000
election. And yes, they are from opposite sides of the political
spectrum.
Olson-who initiated the alliance-is a well known conservative
heavyweight. In addition to representing Bush against Gore, he was
the 43rd president's first solicitor general, has served on the
board of the right-wing American Spectator, and defended President
Reagan during the Iran-Contra scandal.
On the one hand, WTF?
On the other hand, there are increasing numbers of political
conservatives who think that the standard right-wing position on
gays is not just silly, but profoundly unjust. Olson appeared
sincere and determined as he announced the lawsuit, together with
Boies, at a press
conference last Wednesday. As he put it,
I suspect there's not a single person in this room that doesn't
have a friend or family member of close acquaintance or
professional colleague and many of them who are gay. And if you
look into the eyes and hearts of people who are gay and talk to
them about this issue, that reinforces in the most powerful way
possible the fact that these individuals deserve to be treated
equally like the rest of us and not be denied the fundamental
rights of our Constitution.
I couldn't have said it better (which is exactly how Boies
responded to Olson's words, patting his colleague and erstwhile
nemesis on the back.)
On the other hand (that's three, and there will be more),
doesn't the timing seem wrong? That's what many veterans in this
fight-including folks at Lambda Legal and the ACLU-are saying.
Olson and Boies seem determined to press this all the way to the
U.S. Supreme Court. Call me a pessimist, but I can't imagine the
current or any near-future SCOTUS deciding in favor of full
marriage equality. (I'd of course love to be wrong about this.)
Pushing this case too soon could be both judicially and
politically risky. A loss at the Supreme Court would create binding
negative precedent for ALL states, not just California. Such
precedent is hard to undo. Moreover, if the case is pending during
the 2012 presidential election, it could be a rallying cry for
right-wingers.
On the other hand, assuming this case does reach SCOTUS, much
will depend on the idiosyncratic Justice Kennedy-a swing vote who
stood up for gays in both Romer v. Evans (which struck
down Colorado's amendment barring pro-gay ordinances) and
Lawrence v. Texas (which reversed Bowers v. Hardwick and
eliminated laws against sodomy). Romer, in particular, may
be key backdrop for this case.
And even if we lose, forcing justices to put their arguments
against equality in writing, for generations of legal theorists and
law students to dissect, is bound to have a salutary effect
long-term.
Moreover, the bipartisan nature of this legal team, and
particularly Olson's conservative bona-fides, could be just what's
needed to nudge pro-gay conservatives out of the closet in
supporting marriage equality. If-and I mean IF; a big, fat,
entirely hypothetical IF-anyone could convince someone like Chief
Justice Roberts to reject the constitutionality of Prop 8, Olson's
the guy to do it.
Olson is no fool. This is a high-profile case, and that's
doubtless part of his and Boies's motivation for taking it. They
will be working "partly" pro-bono. It is unclear who's paying for
the other part, which surely won't be cheap.
On the other hand, unlike the push for a ballot initiative to
overturn Prop. 8 in 2010 or 2012, this case won't require
substantial monetary contributions from the cash-strapped grass
roots. And if Olson and Boies don't take up the case, someone else
less well-positioned would likely do so.
On the other hand, Prop. 8 may not be the ideal case on which to
pin this battle. Olson and Boies plan to argue on equal protection
and due process grounds. But California still allows gays and
lesbians to enjoy virtually all the statewide legal incidents of
marriage, just without the name "marriage." I'm not suggesting that
the name is unimportant, or that "virtually" and "statewide" are
the same as "all." I am saying that it seems easier to make an
equal protection case where the legal incidents, and not just the
name, are substantially unequal.
On the other hand, I'm no constitutional scholar. And there's
momentum surrounding Prop. 8. And you gotta dance with them what
brung you.
And it's the momentum, more than anything, that gives me hope
here. A super-prominent conservative attorney makes a strong and
very public stand in favor of marriage equality, recognizing it at
the key civil rights issue of our day. Even if we end up losing
this particular battle, it's hard not to grow more optimistic
regarding the war.