The New Reality. I don't intend to go on and on
about the election -- others do that far better than I, and there
are other issues of interest. But there are a few things still
worth noting.
Democrats who engaged in gay-baiting against their GOP opponents
tended to lose -- in the Senate race in South Carolina, the
gubernatorial race in Hawaii, and a couple of House races (the
exception was sleazy Sen. Max Baucus, who won easily in Montana).
Welcomed losers included Democratic Rep. David Phelps in Illinois,
who had introduced an anti-gay marriage amendment to the U.S.
Constitution (it went nowhere) and leafleted cars at church
services noting that his opponent, John Shimkus, was endorsed by
the Log Cabin Republicans and was pro-gay rights! Shimkus won,
hurrah!
On the GOP side, the good news is that we won't have Sen. Jesse
Helms and Rep. Bob Barr -- the two most vehement homophobes in
Congress -- to kick around anymore. Helms retired and Barr was
defeated in his primary race.
I see some are warning that if social conservatives were to
introduce anti-gay bills, without a Democratic majority we could be
in trouble. First, I don't think contentious "red meat" social
issues are going to be brought up, given the President's enunciated
agenda. But if they should, Republicans still lack the 60 vote
"supermajority" necessary to overcome a Democratic filibuster under
Senate rules. The Democrats will not be shy about using the
filibuster to block or eviscerate pro-business legislation such as
tort reform, so if they don't filibuster to block anti-gay measures
(if any) it speaks to the extent to which they take their gay
support for granted.
And there's another matter worth pondering. Earlier this year,
it appeared that the Senate Democrats were poised to introduce the
Employee Non-Discrimination Act (ENDA) outlawing anti-gay
discrimination in private-sector employment. They didn't do so.
Yes, the fact that the House was likely to vote it down was a
factor. But that was known all along, and it had seemed that the
Democrats" strategy was to bring up ENDA and pass it in the Senate
in order to mobilize their gay bloc and liberal supporters.
Apparently, however, a lot of Democratic senators decided they
didn't want to go on record voting for ENDA, or on record opposing
it for that matter, and it was simply dropped.
HRC adapts? Finally, the Washington-based Human
Rights Campaign has issued a
statement coming to terms with the post-election
reality:
"The time has come to consider the myriad federal issues
regarding sexual orientation and gender identity and expression to
move strategically forward -- not just on protection in employment
and hate crimes, but on a whole range of economic benefits issues,
such as taxation, pension and retirement benefits, immigration and
hospital visitation rights," said [HRC leader Elizabeth] Birch.
"While yesterday was a significant defeat for Democrats, our long
experience tells us that GLBT issues will continue to move forward
for human as well as partisan reasons."
This seems sensible, and perhaps where HRC and others should
have been focusing their attention all along -- on possibly
achievable measures that would clear away discriminatory aspects of
law as regards gays and lesbians. But given the penchant of gay
groups to focus on sweepingly broad legislation with little chance
of passage, and to give primacy to pursuing the wide left-liberal
agenda (and the election of those who support it), we"ll have to
wait and see what road the movement actually winds up taking over
the coming years.